Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $23.31K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.07K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$10.77

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $550
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.45K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$10

If you invest $100 $3.64K back +$3.54K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $645
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.35K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 1:46 PM

PnL: $3.31K
Volume: $34.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $345.52
Potential payout: $371.53
Potential profit: $26.01
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $40.81

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $314.44
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $63.8

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3K
Volume: $1.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.81K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.22K
Volume: $71.67K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $658.71
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $3.59K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$937.2

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $645
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.35K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.17K
Volume: $5.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $68.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $81.75
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $38.25

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $64.38
Potential payout: $86.41
Potential profit: $22.04
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $61.29

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $25.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $633.76
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $468.43
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $149.34

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $624.1
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $165.9
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $335

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $6.28K
Win rate: 58.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $25.61
Potential payout: $98.5
Potential profit: $72.89
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $6.9

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.07K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$10.77

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2K
Volume: $295.88
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $3.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$38.94

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$38.94

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $7.3K
Win rate: 46.9%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.55K
Volume: $674.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $12.01
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.08

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $595.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $118.68
Potential payout: $121.53
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $107.63

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $109.77
Potential payout: $110.32
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $8.17

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $624.1
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $165.9
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $335

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $622.85
Potential payout: $824.96
Potential profit: $202.12
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $15.29

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $550
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.45K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$10

If you invest $100 $3.64K back +$3.54K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $345.52
Potential payout: $371.53
Potential profit: $26.01
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $40.81

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $314.44
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $63.8

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $310.6
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$189.28

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

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