Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.37K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.75K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$232.5

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $160.85
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$293.54

If you invest $100 $1.26K back +$1.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $181.55
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $0.05

If you invest $100 $692.04 back +$592.04 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 4:03 AM

PnL: $166.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $610.99
Potential profit: $610.99
User PnL: -$378.81

PnL: $158.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 36%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $103.09
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $156.32
Volume: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $610.47
Potential payout: $824.96
Potential profit: $214.49
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $2.91

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $577
Potential payout: $725.78
Potential profit: $148.79
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $115.42

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $154.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.75K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$232.5

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $181.55
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $0.05

If you invest $100 $692.04 back +$592.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $153.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $411.56
Potential payout: $425.39
Potential profit: $13.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33.17

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $405.92
Potential payout: $644.31
Potential profit: $238.39
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $139.89

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $147.49
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $156.34
Potential payout: $157.2
Potential profit: $0.86
User PnL: $12.47

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $144.38
Potential payout: $165.95
Potential profit: $21.57
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $30.52

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $130.54
Volume: $9.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $628.46
Potential payout: $945.06
Potential profit: $316.6
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $184.5

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $494.97
Potential payout: $592.78
Potential profit: $97.81
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $81.86

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $112.9
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $95.3
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $69.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30.51
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.49

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $68.49
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
User PnL: -$692.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$92.41

PnL: $87.8
Volume: $577.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 36.6%
Current value: $30.36
Potential payout: $83.07
Potential profit: $52.71
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $5.99

If you invest $100 $273.6 back +$173.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $29.52
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $211.48
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $5.54

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $566.34
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $613.53
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $189.89

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $494.97
Potential payout: $592.78
Potential profit: $97.81
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $81.86

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $486.73
Potential payout: $576.01
Potential profit: $89.28
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $62.49

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $411.56
Potential payout: $425.39
Potential profit: $13.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33.17

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $405.92
Potential payout: $644.31
Potential profit: $238.39
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $139.89

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $368.11
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$62.54

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

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