Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.32K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $41.22K
Potential payout: $229.02K
Potential profit: $187.8K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$9.48K

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $80.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.65K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.35K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 4:36 AM

PnL: $876.12
Volume: $4.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $49.58K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.33K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $293.64
Volume: $1.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $99

If you invest $100 $111.17 back +$11.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $825
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $245

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $224.33
Volume: $376.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $984.61
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $48.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $21.73

If you invest $100 $104.93 back +$4.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $589.1
Potential payout: $611.73
Potential profit: $22.63
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.57

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $207.1
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $825.3
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $253.55
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $110.56 back +$10.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $156.8
Volume: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $561.67
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $328.08

If you invest $100 $122.17 back +$22.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $91.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $352.79

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.87
Volume: $511.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $92.36
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.61

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $63.99
Potential payout: $284.4
Potential profit: $220.41
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $25.97

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $122.72
Volume: $5.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $324.22
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $35.49

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $52.5

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $116.09
Volume: $813.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $301.78
Potential payout: $302.39
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $43.5

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $282
Potential payout: $503.58
Potential profit: $221.58
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $75.4

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $90.62
Volume: $1.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $80.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.65K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.35K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $41.22K
Potential payout: $229.02K
Potential profit: $187.8K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$9.48K

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $90.19
Volume: $191.44
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Long ball" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $167.45
Potential payout: $167.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $35.77

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $65.59
Potential payout: $65.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.23

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $84.09
Volume: $3.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.09K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $587.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $488.03

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.75K
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $38.31
User PnL: $391.43

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $51.76
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Throw In" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $109.34
Potential payout: $116.32
Potential profit: $6.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $99.34

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.09K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $587.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $488.03

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $561.67
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $328.08

If you invest $100 $122.17 back +$22.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $253.55
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $110.56 back +$10.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $91.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $352.79

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $28.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $104.89

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

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