Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $157.95K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $385.01K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.37M
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $18.56K

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $62.05K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $365.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:44 PM

PnL: $42.95K
Volume: $886.96K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $385.01K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.37M
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $18.56K

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $62.05K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $365.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $764.73
Potential profit: $764.12
Multiplier: 1250.00x
User PnL: -$385.36

If you invest $100 $125K back +$124.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?

Ends Jan 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$4.4K

PnL: $19.6K
Volume: $427.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $52.22K
Potential payout: $52.51K
Potential profit: $288.79
User PnL: $5.95K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $39.26K
Potential payout: $40.37K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $480.33

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.16K
Volume: $250.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $9.23K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 2.36x
User PnL: -$349.67

If you invest $100 $235.57 back +$135.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $11.62K
Volume: $47.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $14.16K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $168.66

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.23K
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $30.78
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.26K
Volume: $55.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $740.86
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$658.86

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $618.26
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$456

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.8K
Volume: $11.3K
Open positions: 3

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $607.61
Potential payout: $612.2
Potential profit: $4.59
User PnL: -$2.75

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $604.56
Potential payout: $608.21
Potential profit: $3.65
User PnL: -$0.61

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.7K
Volume: $8.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $154.75
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$0.12

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $137.67
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $18.33
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.39

If you invest $100 $113.31 back +$13.31 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.11K
Volume: $22.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $44.33K
Potential payout: $44.46K
Potential profit: $133.39
User PnL: $12.74K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $42.29K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $259.75K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $7.65K

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $39.26K
Potential payout: $40.37K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $480.33

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $36.51K
Potential payout: $38.23K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $785.56

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $24.18K
Potential payout: $26.14K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$38.4

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $18.97K
Potential payout: $22.19K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $14.16K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $168.66

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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