Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $163.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $892.64K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$84.42K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $481.11K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $866.3
- Potential profit
- $865
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$769.71
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $83.39
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Rank #5
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $866.3
- Potential profit
- $865
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$769.71
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.54K
- Potential profit
- $74.54K
- User PnL
- -$4.38K
Rank #6
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #7
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #8
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $22.39K
- Volume
- $33.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $23.85K
- Potential payout
- $153.89K
- Potential profit
- $130.04K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $14.44K
- Potential payout
- $91.12K
- Potential profit
- $76.68K
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Rank #9
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $21.13K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $163.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $892.64K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$84.42K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #10
thepicklebomber - 3805
0x95b1...f9ac Public
- PnL
- $18.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #11
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $16.1K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #12
0x7fb2...ed4b
0x7fb2...ed4b Public
- PnL
- $14.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $145.5K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $14.44K
- Potential payout
- $91.12K
- Potential profit
- $76.68K
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $7.74K
- Potential payout
- $99.21K
- Potential profit
- $91.47K
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $83.39
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $72.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $68.93
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market context is temporarily unavailable
Trader intelligence is still available above.