Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $483.61K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $341.51K
Potential payout: $440.66K
Potential profit: $99.15K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.73K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.05K
Potential payout: $93.76K
Potential profit: $87.71K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $2.08K

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:21 PM

PnL: $102.27K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$300

No position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.89K
Potential profit: $54.89K
User PnL: -$25K

PnL: $100.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?

Ends Feb 22, 2022

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $25.07
Potential payout: $574.96
Potential profit: $549.89
Multiplier: 22.94x
User PnL: -$174.93

If you invest $100 $2.29K back +$2.19K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $2.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.1

If you invest $100 $100.01 back +$0.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $85.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $50.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.5

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $84.19
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.22

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $29.73K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $716.22
Potential profit: $716.22
User PnL: -$322.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $789.45
Potential profit: $789.45
User PnL: -$370.86

PnL: $27.25K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?

Ends Apr 30, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.97
Potential payout: $13.97
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.98

If you invest $100 $100.01 back +$0.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?

Ends Mar 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $9.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.6

If you invest $100 $100.01 back +$0.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $23.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?

Ends Aug 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.2

If you invest $100 $100.01 back +$0.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.47K
Volume: $715.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $341.51K
Potential payout: $440.66K
Potential profit: $99.15K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.73K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $202.22K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.68K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $114.68 back +$14.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.59K
Volume: $12.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $15.26K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.65K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.29K

If you invest $100 $268.1 back +$168.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $202.22K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.68K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $114.68 back +$14.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $15.26K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.65K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.29K

If you invest $100 $268.1 back +$168.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $8.13K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $201.19

If you invest $100 $130.12 back +$30.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.05K
Potential payout: $93.76K
Potential profit: $87.71K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $2.08K

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

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