Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $138.02K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $371.26K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.38M
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.81K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $86.31K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.87K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$25.75K

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:47 PM

PnL: $28.73K
Volume: $886.96K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $371.26K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.38M
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.81K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $62.05K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $365.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $24.88K
Volume: $285.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $9.22K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$377.46

If you invest $100 $238.95 back +$138.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.55K
Volume: $428.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $53.68K
Potential payout: $54K
Potential profit: $324
User PnL: $5.92K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $39.26K
Potential payout: $40.37K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $480.33

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.31K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $176.06K
Potential payout: $420.7K
Potential profit: $244.64K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: $22.89K

If you invest $100 $238.95 back +$138.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $78.18K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $321.74K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $2.92K

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.81K
Volume: $47.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $10.83K
Potential payout: $14.16K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $593.48

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.23K
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $35.91
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.53K
Volume: $12.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $658.99
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $994.74

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $702.74
Potential payout: $821.91
Potential profit: $119.18
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $702.74

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.37K
Volume: $55.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $740.86
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$658.86

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $618.26
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$456

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $138.82K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $192.88K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$22.52K

If you invest $100 $238.95 back +$138.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $65.55K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $230.4K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $64.39K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.91K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $769.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $130.55K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $119.79K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.79K
Volume: $8.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $85.76
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $450.24
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$21.44

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $81.55
Potential payout: $407.76
Potential profit: $326.21
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.85K
Volume: $29.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $504.38K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $85.54K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $97.05K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $44.35K
Potential payout: $44.46K
Potential profit: $111.16
User PnL: $12.76K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.7K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $86.31K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.87K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$25.75K

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $176.06K
Potential payout: $420.7K
Potential profit: $244.64K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: $22.89K

If you invest $100 $238.95 back +$138.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $86.31K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.87K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$25.75K

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $78.18K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $321.74K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $2.92K

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $65.55K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $230.4K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $64.39K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $62.64K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.31K

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $62.05K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $365.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

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