Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $128.11K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.76K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.31K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $87.07K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.1K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$24.99K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 4:55 PM

PnL: $43.54K
Volume: $886.96K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.76K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.31K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $62.05K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $365.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.16K
Volume: $240.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $178.96K
Potential profit: $177.8K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $89.48

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.05K
Volume: $392.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $52.27K
Potential payout: $52.51K
Potential profit: $236.28
User PnL: $6K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $39.08K
Potential payout: $40.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $480.22

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.26K
Volume: $41.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.23K
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $30.78
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $9.91K
Potential payout: $14.16K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$326.95

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.07K
Volume: $50.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $854.84
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$544.88

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $664.06
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$410.21

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.81K
Volume: $11.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $273.75
Potential payout: $720.4
Potential profit: $446.65
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$93.65

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $199.51
Potential payout: $300.02
Potential profit: $100.51
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $139.51

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.39K
Volume: $39.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $515.84K
Potential payout: $518.17K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: $25.62K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $87.07K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.1K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$24.99K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.7K
Volume: $8.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $85.76
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $450.24
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$21.44

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $79.51
Potential payout: $407.76
Potential profit: $328.24
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.04

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.8K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $258.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.16K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.01K
Volume: $22.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $51.26K
Potential payout: $51.46K
Potential profit: $205.85
User PnL: $14.69K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $87.07K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.1K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$24.99K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $62.05K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $365.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $39.08K
Potential payout: $40.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $480.22

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $36.51K
Potential payout: $38.23K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $785.56

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

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