Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $34.08K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.54K
Potential payout: $124.03K
Potential profit: $113.49K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$35.25K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $9.46K
Potential profit: $8.39K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $184.89

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $13.66K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.55K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $5.44K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:21 AM

PnL: $4.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $87.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $29.11

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $8.45
User PnL: $9.66

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.75K
Volume: $962.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Noam in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $101.37
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $2.89

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $102.13
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $2.13

If you invest $100 $1.59K back +$1.49K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.74K
Volume: $909
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.6

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.33K
Volume: $9.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $172.77
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $82.59

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $9.46K
Potential profit: $8.39K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $184.89

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.22K
Volume: $17.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $270

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $251.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$27.77

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.12K
Volume: $915.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.68

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.68

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.09K
Volume: $10.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $13.66K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.55K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $5.44K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.54K
Potential payout: $124.03K
Potential profit: $113.49K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$35.25K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3K
Volume: $2.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $88.48
Potential payout: $141.56
Potential profit: $53.09
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $83.03

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $88.34
Potential payout: $88.74
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $70.6

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.54K
Volume: $18.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.32K
Potential profit: $6.32K
User PnL: -$5.62K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$272.33

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $16.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $5.92K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$238.71

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.37K
Volume: $7.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $26.8
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $5.2

If you invest $100 $303.03 back +$203.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $12.69
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $10.97

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $270

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $5.92K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $251.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$27.77

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$238.71

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $3.48K
Potential payout: $4.49K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $313.47

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $256.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $144.74

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

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