Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.63K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $48.43

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $229.25
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $789.65
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$61.5

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:06 PM

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $32.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $6.46K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $5.35K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $148.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.8K
Volume: $4.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $92.58
Potential profit: $45.83
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $45.31

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $43.97

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.8K
Volume: $174.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $48.43

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.78K
Volume: $11.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $865.66
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $209.69
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $288.11

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Ends Sep 27, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $837.34
Potential payout: $900.36
Potential profit: $63.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $95.43

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.76K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $18.79K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $830

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.25K
Potential payout: $18.26K
Potential profit: $9.13
User PnL: $9.13

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.7K
Volume: $16.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.38K
Potential payout: $10.08K
Potential profit: $705.79
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $448.07

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $6.51K
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $95.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $114.09

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $191.48
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$288.15

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $154.94
Potential payout: $584.67
Potential profit: $429.73
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$176.37

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$967.53

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $20.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $231.5
Potential payout: $275.59
Potential profit: $44.09
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $49.85

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $229.25
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $789.65
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$61.5

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $3.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$87.6

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by more than 4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $16.09
Potential profit: $14.24
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.39

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $6.51K
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $95.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $114.09

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $6.46K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $5.35K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $148.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $5.25K
Potential payout: $6.07K
Potential profit: $818.88
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $90.99

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $409.47
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $355.89

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

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