Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $22.76K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $59.05
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $12.19

If you invest $100 $2.78K back +$2.68K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $578.37
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $3.87K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$2.75K

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $724.79
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$101.18

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:40 AM

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $33.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $300.56
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $274.84

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.3%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $860.08

If you invest $100 $194.93 back +$94.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.49K
Volume: $6.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $759.91
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $436.8
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $717.17

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $740.02
Potential payout: $740.39
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $1.24

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $2.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $19.15K
Potential profit: $19.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$998.41

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $19.15K
Potential profit: $19.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$998.41

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $10.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.79K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $461.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $741.8

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $9.59K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $415
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $85

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.32K
Volume: $4.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $17.65
Potential payout: $57.87
Potential profit: $40.22
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $10.42

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $17.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.54

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $72.2
Potential payout: $173.98
Potential profit: $101.78
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $67.5

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $66.06
Potential payout: $74.64
Potential profit: $8.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $26.06

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.25K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.14K
Volume: $53.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.56K
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $4.28
User PnL: $132.76

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.49K
Potential payout: $10.55K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $70
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Megaquake in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.35

PnL: $1.85K
Volume: $12.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$405.52

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $883.08
Potential payout: $887.97
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: $48.39

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.84K
Volume: $271.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $5.76

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.36

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.82K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.49K
Potential payout: $10.55K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $7.66K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $621.3
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $41.42

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $300.56
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $274.84

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.3%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $860.08

If you invest $100 $194.93 back +$94.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $47.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $436.09

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$405.52

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.