Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.82K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $209.7K
Potential payout: $242.43K
Potential profit: $32.73K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.94K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $349.01K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $24.26K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $85.11K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $649.89K
Potential payout: $662.81K
Potential profit: $12.92K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.39K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:37 PM

PnL: $3.67K
Volume: $50.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.6K
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: $4.39K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $16.81
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $696.41

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.94K
Volume: $43.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $6.54K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$146.86

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $3.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $104.59
Potential payout: $426.89
Potential profit: $322.3
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.09

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $30.14
Potential payout: $109.59
Potential profit: $79.45
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.55

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $649.89K
Potential payout: $662.81K
Potential profit: $12.92K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.39K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $349.01K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $24.26K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $85.11K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $9.74K
Win rate: 83.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $32.75
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $67.24
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $16.55

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $81.24
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $2.55

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $31.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $16.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $295.58
Potential payout: $367.18
Potential profit: $71.6
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $138.92

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $23.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $42.76

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $664.58
Potential payout: $697.35
Potential profit: $32.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.01

If you invest $100 $104.93 back +$4.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $51.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $341.26
Potential payout: $342.98
Potential profit: $1.71
User PnL: $273.8

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $319.84
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $106.29

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $1.49K
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $88.94
Potential payout: $88.98
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $31.99

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $913.47
Volume: $3.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $384.42
Potential payout: $384.61
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $191.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $356.96
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $164.19

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $16.81
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $696.41

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $664.58
Potential payout: $697.35
Potential profit: $32.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.01

If you invest $100 $104.93 back +$4.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $324.08
Potential payout: $331.2
Potential profit: $7.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $153.36

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $295.58
Potential payout: $367.18
Potential profit: $71.6
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $138.92

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

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