Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.07K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $10.08K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $24.69K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$673.99

If you invest $100 $344.83 back +$244.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $15.12K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $22.69K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $6.73

If you invest $100 $250 back +$150 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.18K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.45K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $451.38

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 1:59 AM

PnL: $358.26
Volume: $4.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $114.95
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $390.05

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $299.7
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $53.7

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $278.98
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $524.96
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $874.93
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $286.68

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $226
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $66.11

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $262.95
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $521.41
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $968.34
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $221.41

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $388.82
Potential payout: $845.26
Potential profit: $456.44
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $188.82

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $227.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06
User PnL: $755.82

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $506.75
Potential payout: $507
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $45.38

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $221.01
Volume: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $965.21
Potential payout: $966.18
Potential profit: $0.97
User PnL: $687.62

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $859.7
Potential payout: $864.02
Potential profit: $4.32
User PnL: $454.64

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $181.29
Volume: $271.15
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $265.92
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $10.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $222.88

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $248.1
Potential payout: $271.15
Potential profit: $23.05
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $70.31

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $173.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $10.08K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $24.69K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$673.99

If you invest $100 $344.83 back +$244.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $124.94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $780.01
Potential payout: $871.52
Potential profit: $91.51
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $314.86

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $157.51
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$15.11

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $124.89
Volume: $798.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $37.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: $118.45

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $119.51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $15.12K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $22.69K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $6.73

If you invest $100 $250 back +$150 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.18K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.45K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $451.38

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $115.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $378.41
Potential payout: $578.16
Potential profit: $199.75
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$139.89

If you invest $100 $152.79 back +$52.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $707.28
Potential profit: $707.28
User PnL: -$570.93

PnL: $111.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $44.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $600.17

If you invest $100 $103.09 back +$3.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $77.47
Potential payout: $297.95
Potential profit: $220.48
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$36.7

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $114.95
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $390.05

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $44.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $600.17

If you invest $100 $103.09 back +$3.09 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $780.01
Potential payout: $871.52
Potential profit: $91.51
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $314.86

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $524.96
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $874.93
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $286.68

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $521.41
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $968.34
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $221.41

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $429.59
Potential payout: $740.68
Potential profit: $311.09
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $52.66

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

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