Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.09K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $5.85K
Potential payout: $26.42K
Potential profit: $20.57K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $384.92

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $5.85K
Potential payout: $14.1K
Potential profit: $8.25K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $775.58

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $19.97K
Potential profit: $8.49K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $699.07

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:33 PM

PnL: $5.68K
Volume: $642.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $614.06
Potential payout: $705.82
Potential profit: $91.76
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $359.54

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $605.12
Potential payout: $630.33
Potential profit: $25.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $330.76

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $13.64K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $684.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $359.27

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $325.98

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $3.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

ALKA position

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $618.23
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $327.17

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.6
Potential profit: $420.6
User PnL: -$42.06

PnL: $1.24K
Volume: $42.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $8.87
Potential payout: $42.24
Potential profit: $33.37
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$6.12

If you invest $100 $476.19 back +$376.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $111.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.15K
Potential payout: $10.17K
Potential profit: $15.25
User PnL: $44.3

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.01K
Potential payout: $10.02K
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: $5.04

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $26.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: $756.73

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $820.03
Potential payout: $849.34
Potential profit: $29.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $390.5

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1K
Volume: $28.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $19.95
User PnL: $109.25

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $994.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: $44.5

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $966.88
Volume: $0
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $19.97K
Potential profit: $8.49K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $699.07

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $5.85K
Potential payout: $14.1K
Potential profit: $8.25K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $775.58

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $958.17
Volume: $9.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Mariano Navone position

Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $665
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $335
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $65

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.07

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $869.61
Volume: $8.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $136.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $531.27

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $670
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $278.19

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $869.42
Volume: $3.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.2%
Current value: $387.99
Potential payout: $804.95
Potential profit: $416.97
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: $269.37

If you invest $100 $207.47 back +$107.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $109.57
Potential payout: $456.54
Potential profit: $346.97
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $12.73

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $853.31
Volume: $10K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $144.71
Potential payout: $145.08
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $93.86

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $143.14
Potential payout: $143.21
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $95.88

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $136.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $531.27

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $684.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $359.27

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $325.98

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $670
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $278.19

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

ALKA position

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $618.23
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $327.17

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $820.03
Potential payout: $849.34
Potential profit: $29.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $390.5

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

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