Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.63K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $107.29K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $458.87K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $58.64K

If you invest $100 $527.7 back +$427.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $65.97K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $26.95K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $38.94K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:32 PM

PnL: $2.95K
Volume: $115.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 46.6%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $686.68

If you invest $100 $214.82 back +$114.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $844.45
Potential payout: $845.3
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: $653.32

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.07K
Volume: $98.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $726.73
Potential payout: $773.12
Potential profit: $46.39
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $213.66

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $669.24
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $725.02
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $80.48

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $4.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.9%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $630.38
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $143.16 back +$43.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $107.29K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $458.87K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $58.64K

If you invest $100 $527.7 back +$427.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $47.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $169.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $32.77
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $81.86

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $924
Volume: $9.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $379.48
Potential payout: $379.67
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $251.09

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $323.36
Potential payout: $442.96
Potential profit: $119.6
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $36.57

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $838.64
Volume: $21.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $914.68
Potential payout: $915.14
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $120.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $203.6
Potential payout: $203.8
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $39.51

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $827.45
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $130.94
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.26

If you invest $100 $12.5K back +$12.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.88
Potential profit: $12.88
User PnL: -$1.03

PnL: $790.02
Volume: $3.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$22.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$12.7

PnL: $704.93
Volume: $5.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.04
Potential payout: $62.07
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $58.14

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $37.41
Potential payout: $136.02
Potential profit: $98.62
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $8.68

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $639.68
Volume: $24.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $11.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.11
Potential payout: $101.16
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.7

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $627.59
Volume: $10.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $671.7
Potential payout: $672.04
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $13.7

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $401.11
Potential payout: $401.31
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $112.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.9%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $630.38
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $143.16 back +$43.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $32.77
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $81.86

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 46.6%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $686.68

If you invest $100 $214.82 back +$114.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $25.27
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $41.55

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $726.73
Potential payout: $773.12
Potential profit: $46.39
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $213.66

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

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