Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.08K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.63K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $593.47 back +$493.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.1K
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $3.05K

If you invest $100 $287.85 back +$187.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $800.24
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: $643.07

If you invest $100 $335.57 back +$235.57 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:10 PM

PnL: $3.15K
Volume: $25.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $593.36
Potential payout: $618.73
Potential profit: $25.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $261.51

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $568.37
Potential payout: $829.74
Potential profit: $261.37
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $77.26

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $16.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $972.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $22.5

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.41K
Volume: $3.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.1K
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $3.05K

If you invest $100 $287.85 back +$187.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.63K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $593.47 back +$493.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $0.93
User PnL: $949.9

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $212.45
Potential payout: $212.56
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $120.02

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $65.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 64.4%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $765.11
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $188.68

If you invest $100 $155.28 back +$55.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.81

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $905.46
Volume: $8.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $283.9
Potential payout: $952.7
Potential profit: $668.79
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: $233.06

If you invest $100 $335.57 back +$235.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $279.99
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $208.43

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $846.21
Volume: $39.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $603.16
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: $545.16

If you invest $100 $335.57 back +$235.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $536.35
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $780.18
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $396.34

If you invest $100 $245.46 back +$145.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $726.46
Volume: $8.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $800.24
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: $643.07

If you invest $100 $335.57 back +$235.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $514.5
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $260.69

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $708.01
Volume: $46.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $856.86
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $61.23

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.42

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $705.2
Volume: $16.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $1.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $972.79
Potential payout: $977.19
Potential profit: $4.4
User PnL: -$2.44

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $688.13
Volume: $2.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $688
Volume: $44.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $858.95
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $549.16
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $224.06

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $509.92
Potential payout: $557.29
Potential profit: $47.37
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $63.15

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 64.4%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $765.11
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $188.68

If you invest $100 $155.28 back +$55.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $972.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $22.5

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $924.98
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

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