Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.57K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $7.57K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.04K
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: $3.12K

If you invest $100 $285.31 back +$185.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $3.09K
Potential payout: $8.95K
Potential profit: $5.85K
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $289.1 back +$189.1 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:47 PM

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $21.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $682.47
Potential payout: $691.81
Potential profit: $9.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $331.02

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $518.59
Potential payout: $829.74
Potential profit: $311.15
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $27.48

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $7.57K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.04K
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: $3.12K

If you invest $100 $285.31 back +$185.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $13.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $942.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$7.5

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $989.79
Volume: $63.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61.9%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $819.91
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $133.87

If you invest $100 $161.68 back +$61.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $508.87
Potential payout: $916.89
Potential profit: $408.02
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $17.58

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $909.91
Volume: $2.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $843.42
Volume: $33.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $423.68
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $359.95

If you invest $100 $524.93 back +$424.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $399.94
Potential payout: $400.14
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $252.9

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $750.39
Volume: $8.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $2.64K
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $834.61

If you invest $100 $289.1 back +$189.1 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$218

PnL: $746.01
Volume: $227
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $927.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $23.5

If you invest $100 $107.82 back +$7.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $420.58
Potential payout: $421
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $372.31

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $742.33
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $930.38

If you invest $100 $289.1 back +$189.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $31.52
Potential payout: $504.31
Potential profit: $472.79
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $2.27

If you invest $100 $1.6K back +$1.5K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $733.29
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $149.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $801.23

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $194.49
Potential payout: $212.56
Potential profit: $18.07
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $102.06

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $726.33
Volume: $12.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $1.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $521.34
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$160.05

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $675.13
Volume: $42.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $71.2
Potential payout: $209.41
Potential profit: $138.21
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $2.06

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $36.86
Potential payout: $189
Potential profit: $152.15
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.88

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $149.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $801.23

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61.9%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $819.91
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $133.87

If you invest $100 $161.68 back +$61.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $521.34
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$160.05

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

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