Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.99K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $565.66
Potential payout: $24.07K
Potential profit: $23.51K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $276.84

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $555.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.44K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $9.51

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:57 AM

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $13.89K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $3.27K

If you invest $100 $279.72 back +$179.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $995.31
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $665.28
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $605
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $372.77

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $30.01
Potential payout: $504.31
Potential profit: $474.3
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.76

If you invest $100 $1.68K back +$1.58K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $576.58
Volume: $3.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $406.7
Potential payout: $429.24
Potential profit: $22.54
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $134.46

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $366.8
Potential payout: $379.91
Potential profit: $13.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.25

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.74
Volume: $1.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $620.86
Potential payout: $621.48
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $598.38

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $436.71
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $781.44
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: $237.39

If you invest $100 $278.94 back +$178.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $408.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.8%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $884.1
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $161.67

If you invest $100 $179.21 back +$79.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $565.66
Potential payout: $24.07K
Potential profit: $23.51K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $276.84

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $323.17
Volume: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $331.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $468.4
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $232.07

If you invest $100 $241.25 back +$141.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $150.66
Potential payout: $493.96
Potential profit: $343.3
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $85.39

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $254.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 71.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $237.27
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $92.27

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $88.57
Potential payout: $190.47
Potential profit: $101.9
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$4.13

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $238.31
Volume: $696.91
Win rate: 68%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $204.92

If you invest $100 $279.72 back +$179.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $555.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.44K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $9.51

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $224.74
Volume: $6.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $462.81
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $554.36
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $9.97

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $82.31
Potential payout: $235.17
Potential profit: $152.86
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $12.77

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $221.11
Volume: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $14.9
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $4.9

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.98
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.98

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $214.5
Volume: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $227.31
Potential payout: $229.84
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $27.31

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $174.69
Potential payout: $179.81
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.69

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.8%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $884.1
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $161.67

If you invest $100 $179.21 back +$79.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $899.75
Potential payout: $929.98
Potential profit: $30.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $30.22

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $605
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $372.77

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $565.66
Potential payout: $24.07K
Potential profit: $23.51K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $276.84

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

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