Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.49K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $119.74K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $446.41K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $71.09K

If you invest $100 $472.81 back +$372.81 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $206.12K
Potential payout: $235.57K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.33K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:46 PM

PnL: $3.14K
Volume: $22.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $7.14K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $53.92
User PnL: $206.35

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.71K
Volume: $33.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $520.59
Potential payout: $598.38
Potential profit: $77.79
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $83.87

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $472.44
Potential payout: $530.83
Potential profit: $58.39
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $97.73

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $119.74K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $446.41K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $71.09K

If you invest $100 $472.81 back +$372.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.64K
Volume: $63.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $212.33
Potential payout: $482.57
Potential profit: $270.24
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$124.3

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.23
Potential payout: $240.62
Potential profit: $227.39
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.62

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $1.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $637.57K
Potential payout: $652.91K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $29.74K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $356.1K
Potential payout: $380.86K
Potential profit: $24.76K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $86.84K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $113.64
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $795.45
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $13.64

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $104
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $296
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $4

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $20.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $919.92
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$142.37

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $104.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $38.99K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $938.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.59K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $714.53
Potential payout: $714.89
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $277.52

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $18.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.1%
Current value: $60.22
Potential payout: $92.5
Potential profit: $32.28
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $15.17

If you invest $100 $153.61 back +$53.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $948.5
Volume: $32.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $207.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $897.88

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $16.17
User PnL: $580.71

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $948.01
Volume: $697.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $16.46
Potential payout: $137.17
Potential profit: $120.71
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.26

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

PnL: $922.12
Volume: $31.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.9%
Current value: $482.34
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $900.12
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $365.32

If you invest $100 $286.62 back +$186.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 28.8%
Current value: $192.53
Potential payout: $668.5
Potential profit: $475.97
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $183.53

If you invest $100 $347.22 back +$247.22 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $119.74K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $446.41K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $71.09K

If you invest $100 $472.81 back +$372.81 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $62.72K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.2K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $207.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $897.88

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $987.48

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $919.92
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$142.37

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

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