Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.45K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $106.72K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $459.43K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $58.07K

If you invest $100 $530.5 back +$430.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $63.71K
Potential payout: $93.69K
Potential profit: $29.98K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $36.21K

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:12 PM

PnL: $3.23K
Volume: $772.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $106.72K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $459.43K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $58.07K

If you invest $100 $530.5 back +$430.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $17.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.92K
Potential payout: $10.94K
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: $2.83K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $788.8
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $854.53
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$28.74

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $35.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $30.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $71.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $822.41

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $710.65

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $994.03
Volume: $17.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $467.71
Potential payout: $890.88
Potential profit: $423.17
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $167.71

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $319.29
Potential payout: $414.67
Potential profit: $95.37
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $19.29

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $868.97
Volume: $33.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $68.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $589.56

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $72.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $146.12

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $856.85
Volume: $22.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $821.91
Potential profit: $821.91
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.95
Potential profit: $412.95
User PnL: -$0.41

PnL: $804.78
Volume: $32.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $228.65
Potential payout: $725.88
Potential profit: $497.23
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$102.3

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $53.56
Potential payout: $164.81
Potential profit: $111.24
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$8.4

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $800.4
Volume: $1.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $679.93
Potential payout: $680.27
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $579.93

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $334.01
Potential payout: $334.84
Potential profit: $0.84
User PnL: $224.66

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $765.47
Volume: $5.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $211.46
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $798.53

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $407.8
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $3.88

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $727.69
Volume: $2.84K
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $925.08
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $117.08

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $482.2
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $9.26K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$1.32

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $211.46
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $798.53

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $68.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $589.56

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $72.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $146.12

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $355.58
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$72.27

If you invest $100 $112.42 back +$12.42 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.