Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.58K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $110.68K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $455.47K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $62.03K

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $62.31K
Potential payout: $93.69K
Potential profit: $31.39K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $34.8K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:30 PM

PnL: $1.96K
Volume: $23.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $380.29
Potential payout: $490.7
Potential profit: $110.41
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $86.64

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $305.85
Potential payout: $307.39
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: $266.22

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $144.91K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $11.75K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $105.56K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $6.44K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $20.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $3.4K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $17.91
User PnL: $1.61K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $14.81
Potential payout: $48.57
Potential profit: $33.76
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $4.81

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $984.15
Volume: $44.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.5K
Potential payout: $11.55K
Potential profit: $51.97
User PnL: $2.42K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $11.16K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $27.77

If you invest $100 $124.3 back +$24.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $976.95
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$300

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$651.62

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $909.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $110.68K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $455.47K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $62.03K

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $849.3
Volume: $1.06K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: $846.51

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $15.97

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $797.52
Volume: $6.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $612.41
Potential profit: $612.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.11

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $289.8
Potential profit: $289.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$32.26

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $761.85
Volume: $2.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $498.86
Potential profit: $498.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$200.63

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

PnL: $730.58
Volume: $11.89K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $127.29
Potential profit: $123.28
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$71.09

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$76.5

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $702.93
Volume: $15.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $18.82
Potential payout: $107.21
Potential profit: $88.4
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: $4.82

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $295.2
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $6.25K back +$6.15K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $105.56K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $6.44K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $103.94K
Potential payout: $111.16K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.42K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $62.31K
Potential payout: $93.69K
Potential profit: $31.39K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $34.8K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $11.16K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $27.77

If you invest $100 $124.3 back +$24.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $10.45K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.24K

If you invest $100 $121.29 back +$21.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$300

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

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