Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $22.98K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $5.19
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.78K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:18 AM

PnL: $9.49K
Volume: $812.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $20.89
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $512.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $560.73
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $5.19
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.63
Potential profit: $219.63
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.56
Potential profit: $127.56
User PnL: -$0.49

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.23
Potential profit: $86.23
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.43
Potential profit: $16.43
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $153
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $127.76
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$15.81

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.64

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $4.88K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Base airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1.2

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $987.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $427.68
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $52.32
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $36.88

If you invest $100 $112.23 back +$12.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $362.99
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: $0.55

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $65.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $41

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $24.84
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $142.61

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.78K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $427.68
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $52.32
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $36.88

If you invest $100 $112.23 back +$12.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $293.24
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.05

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $127.76
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$15.81

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.