Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.59K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $822
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$1.18K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$58.9

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $993.96
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $734.67
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $189.82

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:36 AM

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $21.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $129.62

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $16.98
User PnL: $110.59

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.76K
Volume: $31.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $822
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.18K

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $822
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$1.18K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $12.31K
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$58.9

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $881.93
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $214.22

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $74.66
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $105.58

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $527.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $414.24

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $10K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $556.6
Potential payout: $556.88
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $58.98

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $552.97
Potential payout: $553.25
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $2.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $15.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $2.6
User PnL: $827.78

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $699.39
Potential payout: $700.79
Potential profit: $1.4
User PnL: $508.75

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $4.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $965.28
Volume: $31.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $325.55
Potential payout: $325.71
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $109.43

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $302.85
Potential payout: $303.46
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $46.68

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $833.93
Volume: $34.58K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $993.96
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $734.67
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $189.82

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $935.18
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $450.27
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $163.49

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $717.4
Volume: $2.61K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $210.41
Potential payout: $318.81
Potential profit: $108.4
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $160.45

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.15
Potential profit: $288.15
User PnL: -$50.96

PnL: $702.97
Volume: $10.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $522.42
Potential payout: $527.43
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: $16.85

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $420.13
Potential payout: $430.68
Potential profit: $10.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $17.97

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $667.72
Volume: $9.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $176.26
Potential payout: $176.52
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $0.4

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $163.42
Potential payout: $177.34
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $163.42

If you invest $100 $108.52 back +$8.52 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $881.93
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $214.22

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $527.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $414.24

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $993.96
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $734.67
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $189.82

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $935.18
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $450.27
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $163.49

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $915.32
Potential payout: $936.39
Potential profit: $21.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $60.88

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $822
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$1.18K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

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