Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.83K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $956.21
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $55.67

If you invest $100 $169.64 back +$69.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.83K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24.7

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:54 AM

PnL: $1.92K
Volume: $5.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $12.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $469.77
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $368.27

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.54K
Volume: $22.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $120.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $783.04

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $239
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $254.82

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $16.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $8.22
User PnL: $1.48K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $223.88
Potential payout: $224.11
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $210.73

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $16.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$4.1

PnL: $737.95
Volume: $12.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.17K
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $36.01
User PnL: $627.27

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $9.22
User PnL: $71.97

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $665.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.83K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24.7

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $664.89
Volume: $16.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $364.48
Potential payout: $416.54
Potential profit: $52.07
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $99.21

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $272.45
Potential payout: $838.3
Potential profit: $565.85
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$27.55

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $610.85
Volume: $1.64K
Win rate: 35.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $472.38
Potential payout: $472.85
Potential profit: $0.47
User PnL: $437.28

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $167.34
Potential payout: $499.52
Potential profit: $332.18
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $97.4

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.46
Volume: $3.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $95.96
Potential payout: $96.06
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $89.62

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Sri Lanka position

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.38

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.23
Volume: $6.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $451.16
Potential payout: $501.29
Potential profit: $50.13
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $82.71

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $523.09
Volume: $25.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $434.88
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $18.9

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $526.92
Potential payout: $557.29
Potential profit: $30.37
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $80.15

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $239
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $254.82

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $56.29
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$47.17

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $956.21
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $55.67

If you invest $100 $169.64 back +$69.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $434.88
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $18.9

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $526.92
Potential payout: $557.29
Potential profit: $30.37
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $80.15

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

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