Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.3K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.17K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $26.6K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.59K

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.77K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$20

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:31 PM

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $12.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $0.88
User PnL: $223.94

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $0.77
User PnL: $933.4

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.37K
Volume: $48.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $756.89
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $214.42

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $31.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $9.78
User PnL: $124.03

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $14.56
User PnL: $113.02

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $21.48K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $800.23
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $260.48

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $369.55
Potential payout: $879.88
Potential profit: $510.33
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $108.56

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.17K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $26.6K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.59K

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $74.66
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $105.58

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $527.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $414.24

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.24K
Volume: $13.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $753.27
Potential payout: $756.67
Potential profit: $3.41
User PnL: $548.19

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $413.7
Potential payout: $414.94
Potential profit: $1.24
User PnL: $291.4

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $5.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $3.88K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $49.08
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.08

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$12

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $14.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $726.26
Potential payout: $726.62
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $169.08

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $557.44
Potential payout: $558
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $33.62

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $67.08K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.18

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $74.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.54

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $5.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $5.5

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.05
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.08

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $19.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $830.37

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $700.79
Potential payout: $700.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $510.15

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$12

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$20

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $74.66
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $105.58

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $800.23
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $260.48

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $756.89
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $214.42

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $527.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $414.24

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

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