Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.91K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.5K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.02K
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $3.14K

If you invest $100 $284.5 back +$184.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:23 PM

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $20.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $598.42
Potential payout: $691.81
Potential profit: $93.39
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $246.97

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $480.25
Potential payout: $733.2
Potential profit: $252.95
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $9.91

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $14.02K
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $3.14K

If you invest $100 $284.5 back +$184.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $13.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $990.98
Potential payout: $991.48
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $49.08

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $951.46
Volume: $58.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $788.73
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $158.34

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $622.03
Potential payout: $949.66
Potential profit: $327.63
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $70.01

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $823.74
Volume: $2.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $208.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $59.32

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $794.58
Volume: $10.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $592.12
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $386.32

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $714.24
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $855.51
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $115.44

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $699.76
Volume: $42.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $431.59
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $572.11
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $11.19

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $54.45
Potential payout: $209.41
Potential profit: $154.97
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$14.69

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $685.46
Volume: $10.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $1.9
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $516.34
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$141.74

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $675.69
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $252.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $698.38

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $133.91
Potential payout: $212.56
Potential profit: $78.65
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $41.48

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $646.97
Volume: $13.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$4.1

PnL: $639.74
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $989.85
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: $757.62

If you invest $100 $339.56 back +$239.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $30.01
Potential payout: $504.31
Potential profit: $474.3
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.76

If you invest $100 $1.68K back +$1.58K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $611.31
Volume: $4.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $12.24K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $14.5K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $597.01 back +$497.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $2.64K
Potential payout: $8.95K
Potential profit: $6.31K
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: $1.93K

If you invest $100 $339.56 back +$239.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $252.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $698.38

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $788.73
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $158.34

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $155.2

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

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