Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.79K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $10.26K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $24.51K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$500.14

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $14.93K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $22.87K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$182.32

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.18K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.45K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $451.38

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:22 AM

PnL: $3.73K
Volume: $14.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Belinda Bencic position

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $225

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $42.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $315.09
Potential payout: $670.4
Potential profit: $355.31
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $41.82

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $164.78
Potential payout: $215.4
Potential profit: $50.62
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $10.02

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $7.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$101.62

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $749.36
Potential profit: $748.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.47

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $18.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $932.53
Potential payout: $935.34
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: $43.96

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $641.18
Potential payout: $654.27
Potential profit: $13.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $186.25

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $10.26K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $24.51K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$500.14

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $946.23
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $0.66
User PnL: $821.68

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

PnL: $880.47
Volume: $8.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $259.26
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $865.39

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $563.15
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $216.67

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $863.48
Volume: $4.01K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $361.02
Potential payout: $410.25
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.23

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $839.25
Volume: $2.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $10.73
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $10.1
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$9.27

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.49
Potential profit: $434.49
User PnL: -$19.65

PnL: $725.57
Volume: $7.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $437.43
Potential payout: $437.64
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $430.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $14.01
Potential payout: $245.78
Potential profit: $231.77
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $3.69

If you invest $100 $1.75K back +$1.65K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $717.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $14.93K
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $22.87K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$182.32

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.18K
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $11.45K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $451.38

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $648.62
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 58%
Open positions: 3

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.47

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Belinda Bencic position

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $225

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $987.48

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $259.26
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $865.39

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $563.15
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $216.67

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $26.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $45.06

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $641.18
Potential payout: $654.27
Potential profit: $13.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $186.25

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

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