Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.91K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $98.17K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $467.98K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $49.52K

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $61.79K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $31.13K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $34.76K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:30 AM

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $9.71K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.8%
Current value: $772.46
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $523.41

If you invest $100 $251.57 back +$151.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $713.54
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $727.96
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $377.91

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $12.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $157.53
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $753.48

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $285.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $222.53

If you invest $100 $108.99 back +$8.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $588.82
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$52.34

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $474.87
Volume: $6.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $408.5
Potential payout: $501.29
Potential profit: $92.79
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $40.05

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $472.23
Volume: $8.5K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $662.15
Potential payout: $865.56
Potential profit: $203.41
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $35.55

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $575.56
Potential payout: $733.2
Potential profit: $157.64
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $105.23

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $470.12
Volume: $6.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $575.71
Potential payout: $576
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $204.41

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $486.28
Potential payout: $534.38
Potential profit: $48.09
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $183.89

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $453.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $445.55
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $386.49

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $120.13

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $433.17
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $123.14K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $94.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$27.94K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $98.17K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $467.98K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $49.52K

If you invest $100 $576.7 back +$476.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $400.71
Volume: $1.78K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $50.86
Potential payout: $55.9
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $17.89

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $30.6
Potential payout: $30.6K
Potential profit: $30.57K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$603.59

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $394.12
Volume: $9.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $146.08
Potential payout: $186.09
Potential profit: $40.01
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $46.08

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $55.36
Potential payout: $104.46
Potential profit: $49.1
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $39.36

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.82
Volume: $876.58
Win rate: 32.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.8%
Current value: $187.96
Potential payout: $472.85
Potential profit: $284.9
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $152.86

If you invest $100 $251.57 back +$151.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $34.92
Potential payout: $199.55
Potential profit: $164.63
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $6.98

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $275.44
Volume: $2.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $202.37
Potential payout: $217.6
Potential profit: $15.23
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.37

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $129.82
Potential payout: $161.27
Potential profit: $31.45
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$20.18

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $61.79K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $31.13K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $34.76K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$52.34

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $92.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $64

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $157.53
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $753.48

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $285.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $222.53

If you invest $100 $108.99 back +$8.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $298.58
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$131.34

If you invest $100 $110.68 back +$10.68 estimated profit if it wins

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