Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $22.94K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.78K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:16 AM

PnL: $9.57K
Volume: $2.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $20.89
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $512.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.63
Potential profit: $219.63
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.56
Potential profit: $127.56
User PnL: -$0.49

PnL: $1.94K
Volume: $2.22K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.23
Potential profit: $86.23
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.43
Potential profit: $16.43
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $153
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $96.39
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $56.61
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$47.18

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.64

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $4.88K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Base airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1.2

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $424.08
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $55.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $33.28

If you invest $100 $113.19 back +$13.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $362.81
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $2.19
User PnL: $0.37

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $362.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $41

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $30.53
Potential profit: $18.77
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $7.75

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $24.84
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $142.61

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.78K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $424.08
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $55.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $33.28

If you invest $100 $113.19 back +$13.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $294.44
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.45

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $96.39
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $56.61
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$47.18

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

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