Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.96K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $973.69
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $38.19

If you invest $100 $171.82 back +$71.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.83K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24.7

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 12:48 PM

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $5.02K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $312.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $187.5

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $12.61K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $0.97
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $469.77
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $368.27

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.54K
Volume: $22.73K
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $120.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $783.04

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $239
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $254.82

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.45K
Volume: $16.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: $1.49K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $223.88
Potential payout: $224.11
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $210.73

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $16.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$4.1

PnL: $865.1
Volume: $7.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $441.14
Potential payout: $501.29
Potential profit: $60.15
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $72.69

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $43.7
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $51.3
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $34.2

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $665.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.83K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24.7

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $645.77
Volume: $15.26K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.2K
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $7.2
User PnL: $656.08

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84
User PnL: $79.35

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $604.63
Volume: $1.23K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $757.61
Potential payout: $757.99
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $278.79

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $352.82
Potential payout: $353
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $282.43

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $587.33
Volume: $2.54K
Win rate: 35.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $472.62
Potential payout: $472.85
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $437.52

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $167.34
Potential payout: $499.52
Potential profit: $332.18
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $97.4

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $569.06
Volume: $26.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $16.51
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $35.96

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $120.91
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$22.6

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $557.39
Volume: $19.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $272.45
Potential payout: $838.3
Potential profit: $565.85
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$27.55

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $162.44
Potential payout: $455.01
Potential profit: $292.57
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $72.31

If you invest $100 $280.11 back +$180.11 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $239
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $254.82

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $312.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $187.5

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $973.69
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $38.19

If you invest $100 $171.82 back +$71.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $16.51
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $35.96

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $120.91
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$22.6

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $96.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $44.31

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

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