Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.07K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $110.12K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.03K
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $61.47K

If you invest $100 $514.14 back +$414.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $63.24K
Potential payout: $93.69K
Potential profit: $30.45K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $35.74K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:35 PM

PnL: $3.14K
Volume: $772.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.81K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $99.19K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$32.28K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $110.12K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $456.03K
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $61.47K

If you invest $100 $514.14 back +$414.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.75K
Volume: $24.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $516.71
Potential payout: $516.97
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $401.71

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $317.22
Potential payout: $414.67
Potential profit: $97.45
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $17.22

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $19.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.93K
Potential payout: $10.94K
Potential profit: $5.47
User PnL: $2.85K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $154.62
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$655.06

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.82K
Volume: $45.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.63K
Volume: $22.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $241.8
Potential payout: $246.86
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $181.09

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $40K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $81.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $704.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: $616.15

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $37.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $68.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $185.75

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $69.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $494.36

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $897.6
Volume: $1.34K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $679.59
Potential payout: $680.27
Potential profit: $0.68
User PnL: $579.59

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $329.65
Potential payout: $334.84
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $220.31

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $862.18
Volume: $17.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $459.23
Potential payout: $463.63
Potential profit: $4.4
User PnL: $35.8

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $394.17
Potential payout: $414.92
Potential profit: $20.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.45

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $856.13
Volume: $22.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $821.91
Potential profit: $821.91
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.95
Potential profit: $412.95
User PnL: -$0.41

PnL: $794.75
Volume: $7.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $249.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $760.08

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $455.72
Potential payout: $939.62
Potential profit: $483.9
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$170.41

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $649

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $68.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $185.75

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $249.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $760.08

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $69.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $494.36

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $307.31
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$24

If you invest $100 $110.56 back +$10.56 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.