Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.17K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $75.02K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $491.14K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $26.37K

If you invest $100 $754.72 back +$654.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $206.12K
Potential payout: $235.57K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.33K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 12:01 AM

PnL: $3.37K
Volume: $35.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $571.46
Potential payout: $598.38
Potential profit: $26.93
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $134.73

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $462.38
Potential payout: $675
Potential profit: $212.63
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$11.87

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.12K
Volume: $22.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.19K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $3.59
User PnL: $256.68

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.59K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $75.02K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $491.14K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $26.37K

If you invest $100 $754.72 back +$654.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.76K
Volume: $34.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 71.3%
Current value: $817.96
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $330.05
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $720.79

If you invest $100 $140.35 back +$40.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $302.24
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $276.25

If you invest $100 $858.37 back +$758.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $63.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $246.11
Potential payout: $482.57
Potential profit: $236.46
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$90.52

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.23
Potential payout: $240.62
Potential profit: $227.39
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.62

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $1.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $638.22K
Potential payout: $652.91K
Potential profit: $14.69K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $30.39K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $349.01K
Potential payout: $373.27K
Potential profit: $24.26K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $85.11K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.7%
Current value: $225.19
Potential payout: $515.9
Potential profit: $290.71
Multiplier: 2.29x
User PnL: $101.52

If you invest $100 $229.1 back +$129.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $19.02
Potential payout: $328
Potential profit: $308.98
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$4.26

If you invest $100 $1.72K back +$1.62K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $106.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $39.03K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $898.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.63K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $714.53
Potential payout: $714.89
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $277.52

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $18.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 28.8%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $92.5
Potential profit: $65.91
Multiplier: 3.48x
User PnL: -$18.46

If you invest $100 $347.83 back +$247.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $946.64
Volume: $697.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $19.2
Potential payout: $137.17
Potential profit: $117.97
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $2.49

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

PnL: $916.41
Volume: $37.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $791.83
Potential payout: $813.39
Potential profit: $21.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $303.8

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $911.03
Volume: $4.08K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $410.25
Potential payout: $410.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.2

If you invest $100 $282.09 back +$182.09 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $75.02K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $491.14K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $26.37K

If you invest $100 $754.72 back +$654.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.01K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 71.3%
Current value: $817.96
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $330.05
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $720.79

If you invest $100 $140.35 back +$40.35 estimated profit if it wins

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