Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.46K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $111.25K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $454.9K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $62.6K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $206.12K
Potential payout: $235.57K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.33K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:10 PM

PnL: $3.57K
Volume: $22.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.28K
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $89.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $170.4

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.63K
Volume: $33.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $517.6
Potential payout: $598.38
Potential profit: $80.78
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $80.88

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $478.44
Potential payout: $678.64
Potential profit: $200.2
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $52.61

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.35K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $111.25K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $454.9K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $62.6K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.64K
Volume: $63.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $287.13
Potential payout: $482.57
Potential profit: $195.44
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$49.5

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.23
Potential payout: $240.62
Potential profit: $227.39
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.62

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.64K
Volume: $1.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $637.9K
Potential payout: $652.91K
Potential profit: $15.02K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $30.07K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $356.1K
Potential payout: $380.86K
Potential profit: $24.76K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $86.84K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $48.45
Potential profit: $46.03
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$15.46

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $102.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $39.01K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $918.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.61K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $713.82
Potential payout: $714.89
Potential profit: $1.07
User PnL: $276.81

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $20.9K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: $3.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $971.2
Volume: $29.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $224.9
Potential payout: $232.33
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $117.06

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $221.16
Potential payout: $486.06
Potential profit: $264.9
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$28.84

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $946.89
Volume: $560.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$60.57

PnL: $932.29
Volume: $32.46K
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $790.61
Potential payout: $813.39
Potential profit: $22.77
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $302.58

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $919.96
Volume: $7.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $112.93
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $86.99
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $57.13

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $55.86
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $77.14
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $13.3

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $122.08K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $95.92K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$29.01K

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $111.25K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $454.9K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $62.6K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $89.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $170.4

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $752.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.89

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.