Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $35.61K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $134.07K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $83.93K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$17.02K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $68.76K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $24.16K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $41.73K

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:54 PM

PnL: $10.35K
Volume: $27.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $16.07
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $110.05

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.78K
Volume: $54.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $6.21K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $6.7

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $242.33
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $36.8

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.9K
Volume: $13.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $447.38

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.11K
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $17.83
User PnL: $980.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.16K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $134.07K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $83.93K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$17.02K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $82.94K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $483.21K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $34.29K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $11.32K
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $914.63

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $218.75
Potential payout: $310.29
Potential profit: $91.54
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $159.62

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $4.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $1.54K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $116.96

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.04K
Volume: $104.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $697.18

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $951
Potential payout: $951.48
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $818.97

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $512.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $512.45
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.63
Potential profit: $219.63
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.56
Potential profit: $127.56
User PnL: -$0.49

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $14.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $269.44
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $568.49

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $752.68
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $938.74
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $240.66

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $20.23K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $447.38

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.45K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $512.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $29.57
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $137.88

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

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