Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $57.9
- Potential payout
- $771.94
- Potential profit
- $714.04
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $9.51
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.16K WEATHER · DAY · Volume sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $56.97
- Potential payout
- $744.76
- Potential profit
- $687.79
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $56.24
- Potential payout
- $669.54
- Potential profit
- $613.3
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- $15.43
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #13
dpnd
0x5f21...b376 Public @dpnd_poly
- PnL
- $285.18
- Volume
- $11.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $129.04
- Potential payout
- $129.11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $121.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $121.12
- Potential payout
- $192.25
- Potential profit
- $71.13
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $76.2
Rank #14
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $52.73
- Volume
- $11.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Cameron Smith lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the second round?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $12.34
Y
Yes position
Will Jason Day lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the second round?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $12.34
Rank #15
FoolAndHisMoney
0x85df...fb48 Public
- PnL
- $406.26
- Volume
- $10.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $14.86
- Potential payout
- $72.48
- Potential profit
- $57.62
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $10.51
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $4.7
Rank #16
zxcursed121
0x945a...a48c Public @zxcursed121
- PnL
- $133.37
- Volume
- $10.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $105.77
- Potential payout
- $197.7
- Potential profit
- $91.93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $101.79
- Potential payout
- $111.86
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Rank #17
0x5A3b863b4325C6FCEF6C80828DcA1Ddc77fEbd3b-1771846926796
0x5a3b...bd3b Public
- PnL
- -$16.43
- Volume
- $10.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $466.39
- Potential profit
- $466.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Rank #18
0xALJJ
0x652d...46b3 Public @094551YY
- PnL
- $89.83
- Volume
- $10.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $960.15
- Potential profit
- $959.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Rank #19
0xD934049d1369190c9307FfF692211cd323cD60A0-1723092059589
0xd934...60a0 Public
- PnL
- $9.8
- Volume
- $9.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $473.79
- Potential payout
- $474.98
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $473.25
- Potential payout
- $474.2
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $0.47
Rank #20
Tawhirimatea
0x8e8a...64f7 Public
- PnL
- -$24.86
- Volume
- $9.03K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $342.58
- Potential profit
- $337.61
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Rank #21
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $227.46
- Volume
- $8.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $460.24
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$235.41
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- $89.03
Rank #22
LXJXLJ
0xf56c...ad84 Public
- PnL
- -$7.45
- Volume
- $8.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $142.14
- Potential profit
- $131.99
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $97.33
- Potential profit
- $89.2
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $5.21
Rank #23
0x0ca3...8109
0x0ca3...8109 Public
- PnL
- $206.81
- Volume
- $8.14K
- Win rate
- 48%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $57.9
- Potential payout
- $771.94
- Potential profit
- $714.04
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $56.97
- Potential payout
- $744.76
- Potential profit
- $687.79
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $13.32
Rank #24
OlympusHive
0xf421...efce Public
- PnL
- $35.77
- Volume
- $7.98K
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $102.12
- Potential profit
- $102.07
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.44
- Potential profit
- $52.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.74
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $105.77
- Potential payout
- $197.7
- Potential profit
- $91.93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $101.79
- Potential payout
- $111.86
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $57.9
- Potential payout
- $771.94
- Potential profit
- $714.04
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $56.97
- Potential payout
- $744.76
- Potential profit
- $687.79
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $56.24
- Potential payout
- $669.54
- Potential profit
- $613.3
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- $15.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $14.86
- Potential payout
- $72.48
- Potential profit
- $57.62
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $10.51
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes84.5% No15.5%
Jordan Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Yes3.3% No96.8%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes54.5% No45.5%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes13.5% No86.5%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes84.5% No15.5%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes90% No10%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes10.5% No89.5%
Market Live
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes22% No78%
Market Live
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Yes52% No48%