Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.2K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $450
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.55K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $130

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $181.65
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $54.99

If you invest $100 $1.83K back +$1.73K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $262.2
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: -$2.22

If you invest $100 $847.46 back +$747.46 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:41 AM

PnL: $139.3
Volume: $3.46K
Win rate: 69.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.77
Potential profit: $114.77
User PnL: -$40.17

PnL: $138
Volume: $2.11K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $27.59
Potential payout: $326.53
Potential profit: $298.94
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $0.31

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $13.54
Potential payout: $576.15
Potential profit: $562.61
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$46.46

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $130.36
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $126.06
Volume: $1.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$181.17

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$181.17

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $124.9
Volume: $1.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $462.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $12.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $457.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$7.5

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $117.58
Volume: $14.34K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $115.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $450
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.55K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $130

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $262.2
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: -$2.22

If you invest $100 $847.46 back +$747.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $104.18
Volume: $4.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.09K
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $250.81
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $675.22

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $351.06
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.86

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $104.14
Volume: $1.4K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $31.57
Potential payout: $31.78
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: -$0.08

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $31.34
Potential payout: $31.78
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.1

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $98.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.9%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $9.24K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6.39K

If you invest $100 $126.82 back +$26.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $6.78K
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$160.51

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $97.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $819.88
Potential payout: $937
Potential profit: $117.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.23

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $756.25
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $548.75
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $86.09

If you invest $100 $172.56 back +$72.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $96.85
Volume: $1.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $233
Potential payout: $282.42
Potential profit: $49.42
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$16.67

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $218.98
Potential payout: $286.25
Potential profit: $67.27
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$31.6

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.09K
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $250.81
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $675.22

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $351.06
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.86

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $819.88
Potential payout: $937
Potential profit: $117.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.23

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $756.25
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $548.75
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $86.09

If you invest $100 $172.56 back +$72.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $754.71
Potential payout: $830.72
Potential profit: $76.01
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $83.25

If you invest $100 $110.07 back +$10.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $462.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $12.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

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