Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.14K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $571.64
Potential profit: $571.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$232.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$15

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.95K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$39

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:25 AM

PnL: $250.75
Volume: $2.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $81.88
Potential payout: $711.99
Potential profit: $630.11
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$67.44

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $81.49
Potential payout: $696.48
Potential profit: $614.99
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: $9.31

If you invest $100 $854.7 back +$754.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $241.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 32%
Open positions: 3

No position

Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Saturday?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.99
Potential profit: $619.99
User PnL: -$99.2

Over position

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.7
Potential profit: $284.7
User PnL: -$28.47

PnL: $231.02
Volume: $1.03K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.84K
User PnL: -$181.95

Yes position

Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $5.17K
User PnL: -$111

PnL: $226.88
Volume: $3.07K
Win rate: 48%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.95K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$39

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $20.95
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9.07

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $203.14
Volume: $8.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$1.52

PnL: $202.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $130.75
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.3

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change Before September?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.07

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $200.83
Volume: $6.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$15

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $571.64
Potential profit: $571.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$232.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $200.61
Volume: $7.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $198.78
Volume: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9.16

PnL: $184.01
Volume: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $42.93
Potential payout: $43.54
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.7%
Current value: $36.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.35
Multiplier: 2.73x
User PnL: -$14.35

If you invest $100 $272.85 back +$172.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $172.43
Volume: $598
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $171.49
Volume: $3.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.25
Potential profit: $376.25
User PnL: -$55.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $11.32
User PnL: -$1.59

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $62.58
Potential payout: $857.31
Potential profit: $794.73
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $16.11

If you invest $100 $1.37K back +$1.27K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.95K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$39

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $42.93
Potential payout: $43.54
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change Before September?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.07

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.7%
Current value: $36.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.35
Multiplier: 2.73x
User PnL: -$14.35

If you invest $100 $272.85 back +$172.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $20.95
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9.07

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

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