Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $616.62 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $410.25

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $890
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $210

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $488.64
Potential payout: $889.25
Potential profit: $400.61
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $368.11

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 1:57 AM

PnL: $83.75
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.9%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $567.97
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $810.39

If you invest $100 $143.16 back +$43.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $410.25

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $72.54
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $161.7
Potential payout: $161.78
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $14.86

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $160.14
Potential payout: $167.68
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.51

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $72.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.38
Potential profit: $332.38
User PnL: -$142.43

Under position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.48
Potential profit: $347.48
User PnL: -$66.02

PnL: $69.83
Volume: $1.95K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $439.76
Potential payout: $467.83
Potential profit: $28.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.12

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $419.49
Potential payout: $422.23
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: $26.38

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $65.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 51.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $68.49
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.69
Potential profit: $107.69
User PnL: -$28

PnL: $53.09
Volume: $6.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $450.73
Potential payout: $450.95
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $66.71

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $450.25
Potential payout: $450.92
Potential profit: $0.68
User PnL: $269.01

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $51.81
Volume: $121.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.87
Potential profit: $308.87
User PnL: -$130.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.05
Potential profit: $163.05
User PnL: -$83.45

PnL: $51.15
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.7
Potential profit: $123.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.29
Potential profit: $154.29
User PnL: -$14.94

PnL: $49.77
Volume: $11.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $699.65
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $5.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $649.68
Potential payout: $650.01
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.96

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $47.15
Volume: $1.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $498.13
Potential payout: $520.51
Potential profit: $22.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $65.58

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $488.64
Potential payout: $889.25
Potential profit: $400.61
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $368.11

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $45.92
Volume: $893.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $17.23
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.6

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $94.19
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: $3.8

If you invest $100 $1.72K back +$1.62K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $45.4
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.29
Potential profit: $30.29
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $498.13
Potential payout: $520.51
Potential profit: $22.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $65.58

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $488.64
Potential payout: $889.25
Potential profit: $400.61
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $368.11

If you invest $100 $181.98 back +$81.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $439.76
Potential payout: $467.83
Potential profit: $28.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.12

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $430.84
Potential payout: $440.53
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.14

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $160.14
Potential payout: $167.68
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.51

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $157.61
Potential payout: $221.98
Potential profit: $64.38
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $19.98

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

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