Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.54K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $308.78
Potential profit: $301.83
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$4.06

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $85.33
Potential profit: $80.64
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.43

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $84.6
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$8.9

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:03 PM

PnL: $780.28
Volume: $24.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Top Esports win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $24.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.97

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $50.86
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.28

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $758.38
Volume: $8.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.5
Potential profit: $32.5
User PnL: -$15.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$234

PnL: $716.67
Volume: $2.64K
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $662.48
Potential profit: $662.48
User PnL: -$355.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $841.08
Potential profit: $841.08
User PnL: -$106.95

PnL: $673.48
Volume: $10.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.39
Potential profit: $39.39
User PnL: -$13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $650.81
Volume: $7.53K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $308.78
Potential profit: $301.83
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$4.06

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $84.6
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$8.9

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $610.17
Volume: $11.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.2
Potential profit: $182.2
User PnL: -$16.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.76
Potential profit: $535.76
User PnL: -$5.36

PnL: $599.33
Volume: $4.39K
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $584.87
Volume: $8.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $25.72
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6.3

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.19
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.39

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $584.54
Volume: $6.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $63.99
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $17.01
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $27.69

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $60.97
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $26.41

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $577.93
Volume: $14.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $574.52
Volume: $13.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $503.85
Potential payout: $520.51
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $71.3

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $429.3
Potential payout: $440.53
Potential profit: $11.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.6

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $564.05
Volume: $12.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $503.85
Potential payout: $520.51
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $71.3

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $429.3
Potential payout: $440.53
Potential profit: $11.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.6

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $404.84
Potential payout: $465.34
Potential profit: $60.49
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $24.25

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $63.99
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $17.01
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $27.69

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $55.21
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.25

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $25.72
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6.3

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

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