Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.5K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $466.75
Potential profit: $464.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$293.63

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $774
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $327

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:07 AM

PnL: $194.81
Volume: $1.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $623
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $77

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $582.84
Potential payout: $876.45
Potential profit: $293.61
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$73.46

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $180
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $921.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $421.5

If you invest $100 $108.52 back +$8.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $165.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $201.88
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $273.13
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $11.88

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $999.52
Potential profit: $809.61
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $526.32 back +$426.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $157.58
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $491.53
Potential payout: $494
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: $140.79

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $474
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $126
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $134

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $151.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 34%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $145.94
Volume: $1.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.96
Potential profit: $198.96
User PnL: -$29.79

PnL: $132.93
Volume: $963.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.35
Potential profit: $44.35
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.33
Potential profit: $220.33
User PnL: -$0.22

PnL: $127.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.99
Potential profit: $381.99
User PnL: -$1.97

PnL: $123.2
Volume: $2.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $466.75
Potential profit: $464.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$293.63

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Kopylov position

UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

PnL: $119.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $24.1
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.97
Potential profit: $562.97
User PnL: -$8

PnL: $118.76
Volume: $44.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $118.63
Volume: $1.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625.66
Potential profit: $625.66
User PnL: -$20.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87
Potential profit: $1.87
User PnL: -$0.02

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $623
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $77

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $582.84
Potential payout: $876.45
Potential profit: $293.61
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$73.46

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $528.48
Potential payout: $537.07
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.85

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $474
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $126
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $134

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $467.87
Potential payout: $628.02
Potential profit: $160.14
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $23.65

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $201.88
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $273.13
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $11.88

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Yes51% No49%

O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Yes70.5% No29.5%

Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026

Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C

Yes100% No0%

Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)

Yes50% No50%

Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026

Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?

Yes50% No50%

Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?

Yes50% No50%

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesSpread -2.5 Jun 25, 2026

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries

Yes2.5% No97.5%

Spread -2.5 Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)

Yes15.5% No84.5%

Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Set 1 O/U 8.5Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Jun 30, 2026

Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Set 1 O/U 8.5 Almeida vs. Santos: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%

Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos

Yes61.5% No38.5%

AthleticsDraw Jun 25, 2026

Athletics Athletics winning after 5 innings?

Yes0% No100%

Draw Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: Tied after 5 innings?

Yes99.6% No0.5%

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes3.5% No96.6%

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?

Yes69.5% No30.5%

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes20.6% No79.5%

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes9.5% No90.5%

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes13% No87%

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes18% No82%