Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $468.22 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $17.83K
Potential profit: $12.75K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$207.64

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.79K
Potential payout: $8.04K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $120.64

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $66.65
Potential payout: $277.69
Potential profit: $211.04
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $21.64

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:00 AM

PnL: $52.22
Volume: $691.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $66.65
Potential payout: $277.69
Potential profit: $211.04
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $21.64

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $66.21
Potential payout: $92.6
Potential profit: $26.39
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.78

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $52.18
Volume: $3.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $306.27
Potential payout: $307.35
Potential profit: $1.08
User PnL: $237.71

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $290.06
Potential payout: $504.45
Potential profit: $214.39
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$7.23

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $49.96
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.36
Potential profit: $51.36
User PnL: -$32.91

PnL: $49.55
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $47.24
Volume: $195.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $164.4
Potential payout: $174.8
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.17

If you invest $100 $106.33 back +$6.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $163.05
Potential payout: $221.83
Potential profit: $58.79
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$22.66

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $46.66
Volume: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $43.7
Volume: $243
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $3.93
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.74

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $17.83K
Potential profit: $12.75K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$207.64

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.79K
Potential payout: $8.04K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $120.64

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $42.39
Volume: $514.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $92.37
Potential payout: $92.41
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.37

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $90.12
Potential payout: $91.26
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $41.29
Volume: $224.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $77.8
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.36

If you invest $100 $3.64K back +$3.54K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $438.52
Potential profit: $436.77
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$5.26

If you invest $100 $25K back +$24.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $40.7
Volume: $1.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $173.99
Potential payout: $186.38
Potential profit: $12.39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.22

If you invest $100 $107.12 back +$7.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $169.55
Potential payout: $213.27
Potential profit: $43.72
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$2.69

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $40.69
Volume: $369.68
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $14.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $14.9

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $14.06
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.1

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $290.06
Potential payout: $504.45
Potential profit: $214.39
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$7.23

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $289.66
Potential payout: $294.22
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $36.51

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $173.99
Potential payout: $186.38
Potential profit: $12.39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.22

If you invest $100 $107.12 back +$7.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $169.55
Potential payout: $213.27
Potential profit: $43.72
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$2.69

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $166.03
Potential payout: $196.49
Potential profit: $30.46
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.87

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $164.4
Potential payout: $174.8
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.17

If you invest $100 $106.33 back +$6.33 estimated profit if it wins

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