Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $88.35
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$6.49

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $469.74

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $18.88
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.63

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:59 AM

PnL: $218.88
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $213.57
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $18.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $18.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.58
Volume: $1.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.25

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $47.84
Potential profit: $47.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $211.84
Volume: $13.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Megaquake by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $253.26
Potential payout: $265.75
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $181.23

If you invest $100 $104.93 back +$4.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $251.88
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $13.12
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $131.4

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $205.09
Volume: $12.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $7.12
User PnL: $482.97

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $94.58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $26.85

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $200.47
Volume: $6.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $88.35
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$6.49

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.25

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $196.08
Volume: $622.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $20.33
Potential payout: $46.74
Potential profit: $26.41
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.33

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $20.16
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $12.62
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.16

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $183.12
Volume: $2.2K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $174.21
Potential profit: $171.25
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.63

If you invest $100 $5.88K back +$5.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $193.8
Potential profit: $190.89
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$1.24

If you invest $100 $6.67K back +$6.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $178.56
Volume: $988.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $83.11
Potential payout: $147.13
Potential profit: $64.02
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $78.52

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $177.49
Volume: $1.17K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $165.61
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $156.05
Volume: $4.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.7
Potential profit: $7.7
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.81
Potential profit: $595.81
User PnL: -$3.25

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $251.88
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $13.12
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $131.4

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $83.11
Potential payout: $147.13
Potential profit: $64.02
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $78.52

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $20.33
Potential payout: $46.74
Potential profit: $26.41
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.33

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $20.16
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $12.62
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.16

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $25.34
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.15

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

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