Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.93K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $11.21
Potential payout: $217.67
Potential profit: $206.46
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$7.86

If you invest $100 $1.94K back +$1.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $15.41
Potential payout: $209.69
Potential profit: $194.28
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$24.13

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $87.5

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:11 AM

PnL: $223.58
Volume: $1.33K
Win rate: 22.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $222.24
Volume: $4.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $62.28
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.56

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.25

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $199.89
Volume: $3.74K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $45.73
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $13.28

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $12.54
Potential payout: $66.88
Potential profit: $54.34
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $5.64

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $195.77
Volume: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $187.34
Volume: $7.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $187.18
Volume: $1.76K
Win rate: 94%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $15.41
Potential payout: $209.69
Potential profit: $194.28
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$24.13

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $182.1
Volume: $12.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $330.74
Potential payout: $330.91
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $227.88

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $323.61
Potential payout: $323.77
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $153.16

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $181.98
Volume: $16.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $149.22
Potential payout: $327.95
Potential profit: $178.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$122.14

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $148.39
Potential payout: $148.47
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $83.84

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $179.31
Volume: $6.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $884.37
Potential profit: $884.37
User PnL: -$213.89

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.28
Potential profit: $153.28
User PnL: -$23.8

PnL: $172.47
Volume: $2.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.39
Potential profit: $34.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.19
Potential profit: $293.19
User PnL: -$53.33

PnL: $166.25
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $87.5

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $337.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $116.06

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $164.71
Volume: $2.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $149.22
Potential payout: $327.95
Potential profit: $178.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$122.14

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $144.05
Potential payout: $177.84
Potential profit: $33.79
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $19.65

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $62.28
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.56

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.25

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $41.23
Potential payout: $41.73
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.11

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $15.41
Potential payout: $209.69
Potential profit: $194.28
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$24.13

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%