Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $2.96K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $624.77
- Potential payout
- $701.99
- Potential profit
- $77.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $165.49
- Potential payout
- $175.96
- Potential profit
- $10.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #25
0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383
0x662e...4b20 Public
- PnL
- $337.97
- Volume
- $2.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.81
- Potential profit
- $37.81
- User PnL
- -$21.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.63
- Potential profit
- $350.63
- User PnL
- -$90.36
Rank #26
babag1
0x6190...5e11 Public
- PnL
- $308.17
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #27
tenkiyoho
0x09a8...47c1 Public
- PnL
- $306.08
- Volume
- $4.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #28
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
0x1abc...45e7 Public
- PnL
- $298.76
- Volume
- $19.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $165.49
- Potential payout
- $175.96
- Potential profit
- $10.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $159.68
- Potential payout
- $160.16
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Rank #29
russell110320
0x1186...051b Public
- PnL
- $295.69
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
0xEb31cF3A8D7CEE01c515f9D0Ea0CD28215AB3952-1780083976961
0xeb31...3952 Public
- PnL
- $289.8
- Volume
- $1.38K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #31
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
0xec86...60e4 Public
- PnL
- $284.6
- Volume
- $33.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $634.86
- Potential payout
- $636.45
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $624.77
- Potential payout
- $701.99
- Potential profit
- $77.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Rank #32
opopv
0x116d...fbf1 Public
- PnL
- $280.62
- Volume
- $20.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $253.4
- Potential profit
- $253.4
- User PnL
- -$158.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Rank #33
FlobzzHuman
0xa6b9...0a8b Public
- PnL
- $279.87
- Volume
- $512.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #34
horse2026
0x37de...f512 Public @zhum16464
- PnL
- $277.05
- Volume
- $3.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
76ers position
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.5
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- User PnL
- -$24.64
Rank #35
0xE7c327eFF696Dad94A6e9310eE79Af9a185420e0-1771529895076
0xe7c3...20e0 Public
- PnL
- $264.49
- Volume
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.8
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $114
- User PnL
- -$70.43
Rank #36
0xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-1778811892036
0xeb68...e362 Public
- PnL
- $261.38
- Volume
- $8.25K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
76ers position
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.5
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- User PnL
- -$24.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.8
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $114
- User PnL
- -$70.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$205.24
Over position
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$15
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes6.6% No93.4%
Market Live
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Yes76.1% No23.9%
Market Live
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes74.1% No26%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes29% No71%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes8.8% No91.3%
Market Live
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes5.8% No94.3%
Market Live
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes8.5% No91.5%
Market Live
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes9.5% No90.5%
Market Live
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Yes70% No30%
Market Live
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Yes36% No64%
Market Live
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?
Yes3.1% No97%
Market Live
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes15.5% No84.5%