Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.1K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $525.04
Potential profit: $524.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.84

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $501.8
Potential profit: $501.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$135.17

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $469.57
Potential profit: $469.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.45

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:37 PM

PnL: $341.95
Volume: $5.19K
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $3.31
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $339.21
Volume: $3.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.28
Potential profit: $242.28
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.04

PnL: $325.54
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.38
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.94

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.65

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $311.94
Volume: $19.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $525.04
Potential profit: $524.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.84

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $501.8
Potential profit: $501.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$135.17

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $310.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $847.35
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $52.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $127.35

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $817.2
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $682.25
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$52.48

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $304.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

PnL: $301.04
Volume: $3.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $291.71
Volume: $478.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.52
Potential profit: $23.52
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $11.57
User PnL: -$4

PnL: $286.14
Volume: $23.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.14
Potential profit: $459.14
User PnL: -$293.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $47
User PnL: -$0.28

PnL: $284.97
Volume: $18.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $271.05
Volume: $29.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $88.51
Potential profit: $88.29
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.76

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $75.34
Potential profit: $75.15
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.79

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $257.5
Volume: $763.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $3.31
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $0.1

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.38
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.94

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.65

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $342.96
Potential profit: $342.45
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

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