Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.4K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.06

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $32.98
Potential profit: $32.82
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.03

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $9.47K
Potential profit: $7.91K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.13K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:18 PM

PnL: $495.47
Volume: $15.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $468.06
Volume: $62.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $9.47K
Potential profit: $7.91K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.13K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $15.47

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $465.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $817.2
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $682.25
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$52.48

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $807.55
Potential payout: $944.51
Potential profit: $136.95
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $136.95

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $461.22
Volume: $11.37K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.21
Potential profit: $794.21
User PnL: -$104.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.05
Potential profit: $307.05
User PnL: -$47.7

PnL: $442.73
Volume: $7.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.16

PnL: $433.43
Volume: $23.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.44
Potential profit: $271.44
User PnL: -$96.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.18
Potential profit: $402.18
User PnL: -$27.47

PnL: $411.68
Volume: $1.21K
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.31
Potential profit: $176.31
User PnL: -$63.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.81
Potential profit: $158.81
User PnL: -$39.7

PnL: $408.27
Volume: $11.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $406.33
Volume: $6.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $404.17
Volume: $3.22K
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.3
Potential profit: $142.3
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55
Potential profit: $3.55
User PnL: -$1.35

PnL: $404.01
Volume: $928.1
Win rate: 92%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.55
Potential profit: $74.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

PnL: $398
Volume: $14.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.06

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $32.98
Potential profit: $32.82
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.03

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $792.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $107.55
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $72.45

If you invest $100 $113.57 back +$13.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.06

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $32.98
Potential profit: $32.82
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.03

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.16

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.81
Potential profit: $158.81
User PnL: -$39.7

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