Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.62K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $12.87K
Potential profit: $12.86K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.43

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.39

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $65.34
Potential profit: $65.11
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.73

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 1:19 PM

PnL: $285.02
Volume: $23.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.14
Potential profit: $459.14
User PnL: -$293.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $47
User PnL: -$0.28

PnL: $281.45
Volume: $5.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $235.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$13.5

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $233.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $66.45
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$16.35

If you invest $100 $128.45 back +$28.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $274.31
Volume: $20.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $0.44

If you invest $100 $1.96K back +$1.86K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.95
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.8

If you invest $100 $4.76K back +$4.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $268.99
Volume: $468.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.81

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.39

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $268.34
Volume: $16.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $257.5
Volume: $763.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $257.26
Volume: $10.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.16

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $6.6

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $248.21
Volume: $17.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $27.92
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $29.19

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.74
User PnL: $72.83

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $238.01
Volume: $3.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $236.58
Volume: $954.66
Open positions: 1

PnL: $235.7
Volume: $25.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $79.95
Potential profit: $79.59
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.56

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.67
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $234.77
Volume: $6.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $226.63
Potential payout: $262
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.31

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.81

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.39

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.16

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $6.6

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $12.87K
Potential profit: $12.86K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.43

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5 Virtanen vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner Set 3 Winner: Virtanen vs Shelton

Yes42.5% No57.5%

Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Fery Total Sets: O/U 3.5Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Fery Total Sets: O/U 4.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Fery Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Damir Dzumhur vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Yes74.7% No25.3%

Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Fery Total Sets: O/U 4.5 Damir Dzumhur vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5

Yes50% No50%

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 WinnerWimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Bergs

Yes0.1% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 8.5 Humbert vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga SwiatekWimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek

Yes25.5% No74.6%

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Townsend vs Swiatek

Yes0.1% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel DialloCompleted Match Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo

Yes89.5% No10.5%

Completed Match Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo

Yes50% No50%

Wimbledon WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Viktorija GolubicWimbledon WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Viktorija Golubic Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Viktorija Golubic

Yes27.6% No72.4%

Wimbledon WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Viktorija Golubic Set 1 O/U 8.5 Shymanovich vs. Golubic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes0% No100%

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes56.5% No43.5%