Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $89.87K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.36M
Potential payout: $1.46M
Potential profit: $94.64K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $90.5K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $112.65K
Potential payout: $192.57K
Potential profit: $79.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $25.04K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $375.71K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $34.9K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $25K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 9:44 PM

PnL: $30.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 84.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.36M
Potential payout: $1.46M
Potential profit: $94.64K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $90.5K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $47.73
User PnL: $55.33

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.12K
Volume: $16.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $112.65K
Potential payout: $192.57K
Potential profit: $79.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $25.04K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $94.17K
Potential payout: $94.22K
Potential profit: $47.11
User PnL: $11.16K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.01K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $421.1K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $29.27K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $53.97K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $375.71K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $34.9K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $25K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.92K
Volume: $11.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $11.6
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.59
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.29K
Volume: $156.07K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $398.09K
Potential payout: $425.77K
Potential profit: $27.67K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.81K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $242.59
Potential payout: $252.96
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.53

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.83K
Volume: $40.94K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.56K
Volume: $20.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.5K
Potential payout: $22.53K
Potential profit: $33.8
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $13.45K
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $11.23K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.57K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.38K
Potential payout: $20.41K
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: $2.88K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.62K
Potential payout: $20.73K
Potential profit: $6.12K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.96K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.77K
Volume: $17.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $64.8
Potential payout: $864
Potential profit: $799.2
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $47.86

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $50.37
Potential payout: $331.39
Potential profit: $281.02
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $36.56

If you invest $100 $657.89 back +$557.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.76K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $222.62K
Potential payout: $238.1K
Potential profit: $15.48K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $22.62K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.16K
Volume: $7.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $16.28K
Potential payout: $16.31K
Potential profit: $24.46
User PnL: $2.03K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

New York Liberty position

Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$58.97

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $190.64K
Potential payout: $203.9K
Potential profit: $13.25K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $28.5K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $72.26K
Potential payout: $76.59K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.03K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $112.65K
Potential payout: $192.57K
Potential profit: $79.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $25.04K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $72.26K
Potential payout: $76.59K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.03K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.62K
Potential payout: $20.73K
Potential profit: $6.12K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.96K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $13.45K
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $11.23K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.57K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.78K
Potential payout: $10.04K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $790.34

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $7.37K
Potential payout: $9.26K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$25.52

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

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