Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $29.23K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $88.43K
Potential payout: $450K
Potential profit: $361.58K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$136.58K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.44K
Potential payout: $223.7K
Potential profit: $191.26K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.97K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.75K
Potential payout: $115.49K
Potential profit: $98.74K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $49.89

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 10:36 PM

PnL: $4.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $9.54K
Potential payout: $30.76K
Potential profit: $21.22K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $167
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.11K
Volume: $16.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $8.4K
Potential payout: $27.1K
Potential profit: $18.7K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $503.91
Potential payout: $781.25
Potential profit: $277.34
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $3.91

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.62K
Volume: $16.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $320.07
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $484

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $17.84K
Potential profit: $16.5K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.56K

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.5K
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $513.07K
Potential payout: $516.17K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: $24.74K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.64K
Volume: $22.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $361.58K
Potential payout: $450K
Potential profit: $88.43K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $136.58K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $177.34K
Potential payout: $178.5K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: $41.44K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.41K
Volume: $21.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $23.49K
Potential payout: $34.05K
Potential profit: $10.56K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $3.79K

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.22K
Potential payout: $12.22K
Potential profit: $6.11
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $7.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.44K
Potential payout: $223.7K
Potential profit: $191.26K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.97K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.51K
Potential payout: $24.2K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $120.98

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.07K
Volume: $56.04K
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $47.79K
Potential payout: $50.49K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.54K

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $13K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $27K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $11.46K

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $92.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $4.68
User PnL: $37.89

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $171.7
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $255.48

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2K
Volume: $14.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $1.4
User PnL: $132.41

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $126.36

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.96K
Volume: $20.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.9%
Current value: $667.99
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 3.72x
User PnL: $170.21

If you invest $100 $372.44 back +$272.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $632.1
Potential payout: $826.27
Potential profit: $194.17
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $342.8

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $5.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $985.15
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $29.43

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $260.63
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$459.17

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $58.72K
Potential payout: $68.67K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $9.15K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $47.79K
Potential payout: $50.49K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.54K

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.44K
Potential payout: $223.7K
Potential profit: $191.26K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.97K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $23.49K
Potential payout: $34.05K
Potential profit: $10.56K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $3.79K

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.51K
Potential payout: $24.2K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $120.98

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.75K
Potential payout: $115.49K
Potential profit: $98.74K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $49.89

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

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