Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $28.82K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $88.43K
Potential payout: $450K
Potential profit: $361.58K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$136.58K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $33.59K
Potential payout: $231.68K
Potential profit: $198.09K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.93K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.75K
Potential payout: $115.49K
Potential profit: $98.74K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $49.89

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 11:27 PM

PnL: $3.71K
Volume: $16.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $330.07
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $474

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $17.84K
Potential profit: $16.59K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$4.65K

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.69K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $12K
Potential payout: $30.76K
Potential profit: $18.76K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $4.92K

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $169
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$3

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.43K
Volume: $21.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $20.77K
Potential payout: $34.05K
Potential profit: $13.28K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.22K
Potential payout: $12.22K
Potential profit: $6.11
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.3K
Volume: $16.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $27.1K
Potential profit: $17.34K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $4.69K

If you invest $100 $277.78 back +$177.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $503.91
Potential payout: $781.25
Potential profit: $277.34
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $3.91

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.29K
Volume: $22.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $361.58K
Potential payout: $450K
Potential profit: $88.43K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $136.58K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $177.34K
Potential payout: $178.5K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: $41.44K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.8K
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $513.33K
Potential payout: $516.17K
Potential profit: $2.84K
User PnL: $25K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.22K
Volume: $7.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $33.59K
Potential payout: $231.68K
Potential profit: $198.09K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.93K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.51K
Potential payout: $24.2K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $120.98

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.21K
Volume: $92.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.2K
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $4.6
User PnL: $37.28

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $132.68
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $294.5

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.1K
Volume: $21.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 29.2%
Current value: $774.08
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: $231.45

If you invest $100 $342.47 back +$242.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $644.49
Potential payout: $826.27
Potential profit: $181.78
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $355.19

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.06K
Volume: $152.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $23.4K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $6.6K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $20.4K

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.15K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $23.85K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $5K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $56.04K
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $47.79K
Potential payout: $50.49K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.54K

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $12.2K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $27.8K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $10.66K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $14.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $461.01
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $437.78

If you invest $100 $116.35 back +$16.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $1.4
User PnL: $132.41

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $58.72K
Potential payout: $68.67K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $9.15K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $47.79K
Potential payout: $50.49K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.54K

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $33.59K
Potential payout: $231.68K
Potential profit: $198.09K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.93K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $23.4K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $6.6K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $20.4K

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $20.77K
Potential payout: $34.05K
Potential profit: $13.28K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.51K
Potential payout: $24.2K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $120.98

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

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